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8 Nov 2009

Friday the 13th, 2029

- 6 Jan 2001
By Dr Tony Phillips   
Page 3 of 3

More data are needed to forecast 2004 MN4's motion beyond 2029. "The next good opportunities are in 2013 and 2021," Giorgini says. The asteroid will be about 9 million miles (14 million km) from Earth, invisible to the naked eye, but close enough for radar studies. "If we get radar ranging in 2013, we should be able to predict the location of 2004 MN4 out to at least 2070."

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The Arecibo radar in Puerto Rico is coincidentally about the size of asteroid 2004 MN4.

The closest encounter of all, Friday the 13th, 2029, will be a spectacular opportunity to explore this asteroid via radar. During this encounter, says Giorgini, "radar could detect the distortion of 2004 MN4's shape and spin as it passes through Earth's gravity field. How the asteroid changes (or not) would provide information about its internal structure and material composition." Beautifully-detailed surface maps are possible, too.

The view through an optical telescope won't be so impressive. The asteroid's maximum angular diameter is only 2 to 4 arcseconds, which means it will be a starlike point of light in all but the very largest telescopes.

But to the naked eye--wow! No one in recorded history has ever seen an asteroid in space so bright.

Friday the 13th might not be so bad after all.

For more information

Full length TV shows to download from Firstscience.tv Video: Armageddon [ Firstscience presents]
What are the chances of being hit by a killer asteriod? This film analyses all of the evidence, all of the odds, and predicts the day that the world will end.

 
Have your say
 
This is very important, especially if it's on the superstitious Friday the 13th
Posted by: guest - 2009-02-17 - 12:14 GMT

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